Dr Tim Robinson

Research Fellow

Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research

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Biography

Tim is a Research Fellow in the Macroeconomics Research Program.

Tim’s research interests are in applied macroeconometrics and macroeconomics. His current research focusses on evaluating the consequences of macroprudential policies, quantifying the impact of forward guidance of monetary policy and modelling the Australian economy. He is the lead chief investigator on an ARC Discovery Project examining the macroeconomic consequences of macroprudential policies. His past research has focussed on estimating output gaps in real time and modelling inflation and small open economies.

Before joining the Melbourne Institute, Tim worked at the Reserve Bank of Australia for fourteen years in a variety of positions, including managing the section responsible for monitoring developments in the business and trade sectors as well as the macroeconomic modelling team.

He holds a PhD in Economics from the University of New South Wales, a Graduate Diploma in Applicable Mathematics from the University of Technology, Sydney and a Bachelor of Economics with 1st Class Honours from the University of Adelaide.

RePEc

Dr Tim Robinson's RePEc Author Page

 

 

Dr Tim Robinson's Personal Website

Publications

T. Robinson, S. Tsiaplias & V. H. Nguyen "The Australian Economy in 2015-16: Uncertainties and Challenges", forthcoming in the Australian Economic Review.

Atkin T., Caputo M., Robinson T. & H. Wang "Macroeconomic Consequences of Terms of Trade Episodes, Past and Present", forthcoming in the Australian Economic History Review.

Robinson, T., S. Tsiaplias & V. H. Nguyen (2015) "The Australian Economy in 2014-15: An Economy in Transition", Australian Economic Review, 48, 1, 1-14.

Pagan A & T. Robinson (2014) "Methods for Assessing the Impact of Financial Effects Upon the Business Cycle in Macroeconometric Models", Journal of Macroeconomics, 41, 94-106.

Atkin T. , Caputo M., Robinson T. & H. Wang (2014) "Australia After the Terms of Trade Boom”, Reserve Bank of Australia Bulletin, March, p. 55-62.

Caputo M., Robinson T. & H. Wang (2013) “The Relationship Between Chinese Steel and Bulk Commodity Prices”, Reserve Bank of Australia Bulletin, September, p. 13-18.

Robinson T. & H. Wang (2013) “Changes to the RBA Index of Commodity Prices: 2013”, Reserve Bank of Australia Bulletin, March, p. 23-28.

Cagliarini A., Robinson T. & A. Tran (2011) “Reconciling Microeconomic and Macroeconomic Estimates of Price Stickiness”, Journal of Macroeconomics, vol.33, No. 1, pp. 102-120.

Kuttner, K & Robinson T. (2010) “Understanding the Flattening Phillips Curve”, North American Journal of Economics and Finance, vol. 21, No. 2, pp. 110-125.

Robinson, T. & Stone, A. (2005) “Monetary Policy, Asset-price Bubbles and the Zero Lower Bound”, in Rose. A & Ito, T. "Monetary Policy Under Very Low Inflation Rates", 15th East Asian Seminar on Economics, NBER Conference Volume.

Gruen, D., Robinson, T. & Stone, A. (2005) “Real-time Output Gaps – How Reliable Are They?”, The Economic Record, March, pp. 6-18.

Richards, A. & Robinson, T. (2003), “Asset Prices and Monetary Policy”, Reserve Bank of Australia Conference Volume.

Tisato, P. & Robinson, T. (1999) “Cost-Benefit Analysis of Travel Blending in Adelaide”, Proceedings of the 23rd Australian Transport Research Forum, Perth Australia, p.687-702.

Working Papers

Kulish M., Morley J. & T. Robinson (2014) “Estimating the Expected Duration of the Zero Lower Bound in DSGE Models with Forward Guidance”, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, University of Melbourne, Working Paper 16/14. Also School of Economics, University of New South Wales Working Paper 2014-32.

Langcake S. & Robinson T. (2013) “An Empirical BVAR-DSGE Model of the Australian Economy,” Reserve Bank of Australia Research Discussion Paper 2013-07.

Robinson T. (2013) “Estimating and Identifying Empirical BVAR-DSGE Models for Small-Open Economies”, Reserve Bank of Australia Research Discussion Paper 2013-06.

Hodge, A, Robinson T. & R. Stuart (2008) “A Small BVAR-DSGE Model for Forecasting the Australian Economy, Reserve Bank of Australia Research Discussion Paper 2008-04.

Legg A., Prasad N. & Robinson T. (2007) "Global Imbalances and the Global Savings Glut: A Panel Data Assessment", Reserve Bank of Australia Research Discussion Paper 2007-11.

Robinson, T., Stone, A. & Van Zyl, M. (2003) “The Real-time Forecasting Performance of Phillips Curves”, Reserve Bank of Australia Research Discussion Paper 2003-12.