Media releases 2011, 2010 & 2009
2011
December 2011
- Leading Index back below trend growth (PDF 43KB)
- Consumer Inflationary Expectations fell for the second month (PDF 206KB)
- Surprising fall in Consumer sentiment (PDF 46KB)
- TD Securities – Melbourne Institute Monthly Inflation Gauge fell by 0.1 per cent in November (PDF 19KB)
November 2011
- Adolescent boys more prone to delinquency without a father
- Shareholders planning dramatic switch into industrials, survey finds (PDF 262KB)
- Monthly Bulletin of Economic Trends: Will Australia experience another financial crisis? (PDF 223KB)
- Leading Index back around trend growth (PDF 44KB)
- Melbourne Institute Wages Report: Growth in total pay rebounds (PDF 207KB)
- Fall in Consumer Inflationary Expectations (PDF 210KB)
- First rate cut boosts Consumer Sentiment (PDF 46KB)
October 2011
- TD Securities – Melbourne Institute Monthly Inflation Gauge rose by 0.1 per cent in October (PDF 21KB)
- Monthly Bulletin of Economic Trends: Indexes of Activity and GDP growth (PDF 224KB)
- Leading Index growth rate moves higher (PDF 44KB)
- MABEL longitudinal survey of doctors extended five years
- Modest rise in Consumer Inflationary Expectations (PDF 204KB)
- Consumer Sentiment up slightly (PDF 44KB)
September 2011
- TD Securities – Melbourne Institute Monthly Inflation Gauge rose by 0.1 per cent in September (PDF 19KB)
- Monthly Bulletin of Economic Trends: Is it time for a rate cut? (PDF 223KB)
- Household financial conditions rise but not enough (PDF 248KB)
- Leading Index firms (PDF 44KB)
- Consumer Inflationary Expectations virtually unchanged (PDF 214KB)
- Consumer Sentiment rises but remains weak (PDF 48KB)
August 2011
- TD Securities – Melbourne Institute Monthly Inflation Gauge fell by 0.1 in August (PDF 21KB)
- Plummeting Shareholder Sentiment To Remain Weak For Months Ahead (PDF 70KB)
- Monthly Bulletin of Economic Trends: What are Australian consumers telling us? (PDF 37KB)
- Leading Index remains weak (PDF 31KB)
- Melbourne Institute Wages Report: Growth in total pay slowed sharply (PDF 37KB)
- Shift in Consumer Inflationary Expectations (PDF 68KB)
- Consumer Sentiment down 3.5% (PDF 45KB)
July 2011
- TD Securities – Melbourne Institute Monthly Inflation Gauge rose by 0.3 per cent in July (PDF 21KB)
- Monthly Bulletin of Economic Trends: Policy dilemmas ahead … (PDF 38KB)
- Growth Rate of Leading Index well below Trend (PDF 30KB)
- Consumer Inflationary Expectations increased marginally in July (PDF 36KB)
- Consumer Sentiment down sharply (PDF 47KB)
June 2011
- TD Securities – Melbourne Institute Monthly Inflation Gauge was flat in June (PDF 21KB)
- Monthly Bulletin of Economic Trends: Rebound in June, but modest growth ahead … (PDF 37KB)
- Leading Index shows significantly weaker growth momentum (PDF 31KB)
- Household Financial Conditions Plummet (PDF 31KB)
- Consumer Inflationary Expectations remained steady in June (37KB)
- Consumer Sentiment: another soft result (PDF 46KB)
May 2011
- TD Securities – Melbourne Institute Monthly Inflation Gauge rose by 0.2 per cent in May (PDF 21KB)
- Monthly Bulletin of Economic Trends: Is 4 % growth probable or only possible? (PDF 38KB)
- Investor confidence drops and Australian retail investors fear carbon tax damage to their portfolios (PDF 54KB)
- Growth rate of the Leading Index is stabilising well above trend (PDF 30KB)
- Melbourne Institute Wages Report: All signs point to inflation (PDF 37KB)
- Consumer Inflationary Expectations Fall in May, but possible rate rise (PDF 38KB)
- Consumer Sentiment edges lower (PDF 46KB)
April 2011
- TD Securities – Melbourne Institute Monthly Inflation Gauge rose by 0.3 per cent in April (PDF 19KB)
- Monthly Bulletin of Economic Trends: Whither the Exchange Rate? … (PDF 38KB)
- Growth rate of Leading Index is stabilising (PDF 31KB)
- Slight Fall in Consumer Inflationary Expectations (PDF 92KB)
- Lacklustre Consumer Sentiment (PDF 46KB)
March 2011
- TD Securities – Melbourne Institute Monthly Inflation Gauge rose by 0.6 per cent in March (PDF 21KB)
- Monthly Bulletin of Economic Trends: No 'Irrational Exuberance' – but perhaps 'Irrational Apathy'? … (PDF 38KB)
- Household financial conditions still low (PDF 41KB)
- Leading Index falls (PDF 31KB)
- Fall in Consumer Inflationary Expectations for now (PDF 40KB)
- Consumer sentiment dips despite steady rates (PDF 46KB)
February 2011
- TD Securities - Melbourne Institute Monthly Inflation Gauge rose by 0.2 per cent in February (PDF 21KB)
- Confidence falling among Australian retail investors – market outlook sluggish (PDF 143KB)
- Monthly Bulletin of Economic Trends: Where is the growth? (PDF 37KB)
- Leading Index ticks up (PDF 31KB)
- Wage expectations rise further, to 3.5 per cent (PDF 37KB)
- Consumer Inflationary Expectations falls, but remains high (PDF 36KB)
- Consumer sentiment rebounds modestly (PDF 45KB)
January 2011
- TD Securities - Melbourne Institute Monthly Inflation Gauge rose by 0.4 per cent in January (PDF 19 KB)
- Monthly Bulletin of Economic Trends: Modest Growth Expected in 2011 (PDF 37KB)
- Growth rate of the Leading Index slows to around trend (PDF 30KB)
- Floods hike up Consumer Inflationary Expectations (PDF 37KB)
- Floods drive down Consumer sentiment (PDF 44KB)
- TD Securities - Melbourne Institute Monthly Inflation Gauge rose by 0.2 per cent in December (PDF 25KB)
2010
December 2010
- Household financial conditions are not rebounding
- Monthly Bulletin of Economic Trends: A more stable economy
- Leading Index shows growth continuing to moderate
- Consumer Inflationary Expectations to 2.8 per cent
- Consumer sentiment edges up
- TD Securities - Melbourne Institute Monthly Inflation Gauge rose by 0.4 per cent in November
November 2010
- IBM-Melbourne Institute Innovation Index of Australian Industry 2010 report is now available
- Caution persisting among Australian stock market investors
The latest Global Proxy-Melbourne Institute Shareholder Confidence Index released
today improved by 5.8 per cent in November 2010 to 123.9 from 117.0 in August
2010.
- Monthly Bulletin of Economic Trends - CPI inflation (2.8%), Hourly Rates of Pay (3.4%), Change in Employee Cost of Living (4.6%)
In this month's issue, the team draws attention to tight global credit conditions, higher interest
charges, higher wage expectations and the differential between CPI inflation and the change in the
employee cost of living. - Leading Index continues to slow
- Pay growth jumps to 5.0 per cent
- Consumer Inflationary Expectations fell to 3.1 per cent
- Consumer sentiment surprisingly resilient to rate hike
October 2010
- TD Securities - Melbourne Institute Monthly Inflation Gauge October 2010
- Consumer Inflationary Expectations jump to 3.8 per cent
The median expected inflation rate, reported in the Melbourne Institute Survey of Consumer Inflationary Expectations, increased to 3.8 per cent from 3.1 per cent in September.
September 2010
- Inflationary pressures building up, here and overseas
Despite stronger than expected GDP growth in June, the Melbourne Institute forecasts modest growth in GDP and employment in the quarters ahead. - Lowest share of debt free households on record
The Melbourne Institute household financial conditions index fell to 32.7 in September from 33.7 in June.
- Consumer Inflationary Expectations rose to 3.1 per cent
The median expected inflation rate, reported in the Melbourne Institute Survey of Consumer Inflationary Expectations, increased to 3.1 per cent from 2.8 per cent in August.
- The Australian Economic Review - September issue
This issue of the leading quarterly journal AER includes an article on The Challenges of Climate Policy by Timothy J. Brennan. The Policy Forum section of this issue includes five articles on Saving for Retirement.
August 2010
- Outlook is beleaguered by uncertainty
Recently economic news both from overseas and Australia point to uncertainty in the domestic economy. At home, economic indicators do not give a coherent story. Abroad, growth is slowing but by how much is still uncertain - Pay growth slows to 4.0 per cent
The August release of the quarterly Melbourne Institute Wages Report shows that total pay growth over the 12 months to August 2010 slowed to 4.0 per cent. - Shareholder Confidence Rebounds Despite Federal Election Uncertainty
Investors less certain about next 12 months. Past performance of the Global Proxy-Melbourne Institute Shareholder Confidence Index establishes it as the leading sharemarket indicator.
July 2010
- A concerted global deceleration seems imminent.
The Melbourne Institute Monthly Bulletin of Economic Trends (MBET) in July states that although global growth is still positive, a concerted deceleration seems imminent. The question now is whether the world can ward off a double dip recession. - Female GPs earn 25 per cent less than male counterparts.
This research result, and other findings on the doctor shortage in country areas, are from a research Working Paper released on 21 July What Factors Influence the Earnings of GPs and Medical Specialists in Australia? The study is based on data from the national longitudinal survey of doctors called Medicine in Australia: Balancing Employment and Life (MABEL). - Consumer Inflationary Expectations fell slightly
The median expected inflation rate, reported in the Melbourne Institute Survey of Consumer Inflationary Expectations, decreased marginally to 3.3 per cent in July from 3.4 per cent in June.
June 2010
- Slow and Steady Growth Ahead
Growth in Real GDP in Australia is weaker than expected, but forecasts are for slow and
steady growth ahead.
- Household financial position improved in June 2010
The Melbourne Institute household financial conditions index shows the proportion
of households who are saving relative to the proportion of households who are
running into debt and/or drawing on their savings - MABEL Survey Wave 3 'goes live', June 10 2010
- Congratulations to Professor Ross Williams awarded Member of the Order of Australia.
May 2010
- Disturbing Developments Ahead
Disturbing economic developments, both overseas and domestic, have prompted a less optimistic outlook for the Australian economy than a month ago. Dr Michael Chua in the Macroeconomics team said While we continue to expect growth in the economy, troublesome developments have caused us to be concerned about the likely pace of growth.
March 2010
- New research shows job fears increased at the onset of the GFC, but not by much
New research showing the GFC had little impact on Australian perceptions of job security was released today by the Melbourne Institute in its Annual Report of the Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) Survey. - Melbourne Institute Household Saving and Investment Report, March 2010 - (pdf 65k)
- March 2010 issue of the Australian Economic Review - (pdf 43k)
- Consumer Inflationary Expectations remain unchanged [March] - (pdf 52k)
- Consumer Sentiment resilient to higher rates (March) - (pdf 33k)
February 2010
- New Director at Melbourne Institute
- Monthly Bulletin of Economic Trends February 2009 - (pdf 62k)
- Global Proxy-Melbourne Institute Shareholder Confidence Index survey - (pdf 87k)
- Pay growth ticked up to 3.2 per cent - (pdf 47k)
- Consumer Inflationary Expectations Decrease in February - (pdf 48k)
- Modest fall in Consumer Sentiment Index reflects continuing caution on rates - (pdf 42k)
January 2010
- Monthly Bulletin of Economic Trends January 2009 - (pdf 68k)
- Consumer Inflationary Expectations Decreased Slightly in January - (pdf 40k)
2009
- Obama Accord a good thing amid Copenhagen fiasco
- Results from the MABEL Longitudinal Survey of Australian Doctors - Wave 1 (2008) - (pdf 31k)
- Household Financial position improved further in the December quarter of 2009 - (pdf 49k)
- Consumer Inflationary Expectations Up in December - (pdf 42k)
- Surprisingly modest fall in Consumer sentiment in December - (pdf 37k)
- Third edition of the IBM-Melbourne Institute Innovation Index of Australian Industry - (pdf 43k)
- December 2009 issue of the Australian Economic Review - (pdf 52k)
- Subdued verdict on Australian shares despite investors saying market is back to normal - (pdf 42k)
- Pay growth falls to 2.9 per cent - (pdf 47k)
- Firmly on the Road to Recovery - (pdf 64k)
- Consumer Inflationary Expectations Unchanged in October - (pdf 42k)
- Employment contraction likely to ease - (pdf 42k)
- A U-shaped recovery - (pdf 62k)
- Saving for Holiday/Travel rises as Household financial position improves
- Leading Index surges
- Consumer Inflationary Expectations Unchanged in September
- Consumer sentiment continues to boom
- Information on the ASEAN Community
- Confidence surges among Australian investors
- Are we already on the road to recovery?
- Leading Index Improving
- Melbourne Institute Wages Report August 2009
- Consumer Inflationary Expectations Rise in August
- Consumer sentiment rises towards 2yr highs
- ... Risks on the road to recovery ...
- Leading Index recovering slowly
- Researchers examine marital separation
- Study on economic integration of immigrants
- Does a previous relationship matter when repartnering?
- Community participation enhances well-being
- Upcoming HILDA Conference, July 2009
- Research into occupation and personality
- Consumer Inflationary Expectations Rise in July
- Surprise surge in Consumer Sentiment
- ...The Australian economy slow and steady ...
- Household financial position improved slightly in June quarter 2009
- Consumer Inflationary Expectations Rise but Still Within Target Band
- Consumer Sentiment soars as economy 'escapes' recession
- Household survey contains wealth of statistics
- Study examines who gets into difficulty with credit card debt
- Study examines the height and weight of Australians
- Study identifies changes in the wealth of Australian households
- Whats the impact of working long hours?
- June 2009 issue of the Australian Economic Review
- Leading Index hints at stabilisation
- Melbourne Institute Wages Report - May 2009
- Little Change in Consumer Inflationary Expectations
- Consumer Sentiment loses ground
- ... the Australian economy has stopped growing ...(60KB pdf)
- About one in ten Doctors plan to quit over the next 5 years
- Growth Rate of the Leading Index Continues to Plunge (30KB pdf)
- Consumer Inflationary Expectations Remain within the Reserve Bank's Target Band (37KB pdf)
- Consumer Sentiment surges in April (pdf 35KB )
- Do Patents Matter for Commercialization? (pdf 47KB )
- Do Low-paid Jobs Hurt Future Employment Prospects? (pdf 32KB )
- Getting the Skills Australia Needs (pdf 41KB )
- ... Rate cut likely in April ...(pdf 60KB )
- More Households in Financial Stress since March 2007 (pdf 56KB)
- Melbourne Institute releases March 2009 issue of the Australian Economic Review (pdf 44KB)
- Getting the Skills Australia Needs (pdf 42KB)
- Consumer Inflationary Expectations Decline in March (pdf 38KB)
- Consumer Sentiment may be finding a base (pdf 37KB)
- Did Australia's Baby Bonus Increase the Fertility Rate? (pdf 40KB)
- Leading Index Continues to Signal Weakness Ahead (pdf 33KB)
- Modest Wage Expectations Over Coming Months (pdf 43KB)
- Consumer Inflationary Expectations Decrease in February
- Consumer Sentiment - fearful consumers ignore rate cut
- Rate cut likely in February