Dr Chew Lian Chua (Michael)

Research Fellow
Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research
Tel. +61 3 8344 2144
Fax. +61 3 8344 2111
Email. mchua@unimelb.edu.au

Michael is a Research Fellow in the Applied Macreconomics group. His research interests focus on empirical macro and Bayesian econometrics.

Download Curriculum Vitae here.

Link to Michael's photo ablum.

Publications

• 'A Bayesian Simulation Approach to Inference on a Multi-State Latent Factor Intensity Model', Australian and New Zealand Journal of Statistic, accepted in February 2010 (with G. C. Lim and P. Smith).
• 'Predicting Economic Contractions and Expansions with the Aid of Professional Forecasts', International Journal of Forecasting, accepted in January 2010. (with S.Tsiaplias).
• 'Review of the Australian Economy 2009-10: On the Road to Recovery', Australian Economic Review, forthcoming. (with G.C Lim, E. Claus and S. Tsiaplias).
• 'Forecasting Australian Macroeconomic Variables Using a Large Dataset', Australian Economic Papers, accepted in October 2009. (with S.Tsiaplias).
• 'A Two-Stage Estimation of Hospital Performance Using Mortality Outcome Measures: An Application Using Victorian Hospital Data', Health Economics, accepted in September 2009. (with A. Palangkaraya and J.S. Yong).
• 'Review of the Australian Economy 2008-09: Recession, Retrenchments and Risks', The Australian Economic Review, 42, 1-11, 2009 (with G.C Lim, E. Claus and S. Tsiaplias).
• 'Can Consumer Sentiment and Its Components Forecast Australian GDP and Consumption', Journal of Forecasting, 28(8), 698-711, 2009. (with S. Tsiaplias).
• 'Markov Switching Mean Reversion in Short-term interest rates: Evidence from East Asian Economies', The Economic Record, 83, 383-397, 2007 (with S. Suardi).
• 'Airline Code-share Alliances and Costs: Imposing Concavity on Translog Cost Function Estimation,' Review of Industrial Organisation, 26, 461-487, 2005 (with H. Kew and J.S. Yong).
• 'Bayesian Model Averaging in Consumer Demand System with Inequality Constraints,' Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics, 49(3), 267-291, 2001 (with W.E. Griffiths and C.J. O’Donnell).

Other Research papers

• 'Bank and Official Interest Rates: How Do They Interact over Time?,' Melbourne Institute Working Paper 4/10, The University of Melbourne (with G. C. Lim and S. Tsiaplias).
• 'A Multivariate GARCH Model Incorporating the Direct and Indirect Transmission of Shocks', (August 25, 2009), Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1461267 (with S. Tsiaplias).